Marketplace

cs2-item-market-loses-nearly-$2b-in-value-overnight-due-to-“trade-up”-update

CS2 item market loses nearly $2B in value overnight due to “trade up” update

Valve benefits from any panicked trading in the short term, with every Steam Marketplace sale carrying a 5 percent “Steam Transaction Fee” on top of a 10 percent “Counter-Strike 2 fee… that is determined and collected by the game publisher” (read: Valve). In the long term, though, making some of the rarest items in the game easier to obtain will likely depress overall spending among the whales that dominate the market.

Wild CS2 update tonight. I’ve spent the last few hours digging through market data and built this projection chart to show how I think things play out.

Knives and gloves drop fast (40–50%) as the new trade-up path floods supply, while Covert skins surge short-term as everyone… pic.twitter.com/8NOMIBPZ1F

— SAC (@SAC_IG) October 23, 2025

Using marketplace data, Irish Guys esports team owner SAC ran some projections estimating that, over the next few months, “the market settles about 5–10% lower overall, not a crash, just a correction.” But there are also more bullish and bearish possibilities, depending on how overall item demand and market liquidity develops in the near future.

Market tracker CSFloat also crunched some numbers to determine that the overall supply of knives and gloves could roughly double if every common item were traded up under the new update. In practice, though, the supply increase will likely be “far less.”

Massive monetary shifts aside, this latest update seems set to make it easier for new CS2 players to access some once-rare in-game items without breaking the bank. “I got burned a little [by the update]… but honestly, this is the way to go for the long term health of the game,” Redditor chbotong wrote. “[It’s] given me faith that Valve is actually steering in a direction that favors the average player than a market whale.”

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Health plan enrollment period is set to be horrifying for everyone this year

Employer plans

While ACA sticker shock spreads, a new KFF report out today suggests that people on employer-based health insurance plans are also in for some heftier prices—though the increases aren’t quite as dramatic as the Marketplace hikes.

An analysis of current employer plans finds that the average cost to insure an American family hit nearly $27,000 this year, with average employee contributions to that bill being $7,000 a year. Family premiums are up 6 percent, or $1,408, from last year, while inflation only rose 2.7 percent and wage growth only rose 4 percent.

KFF suggested that various factors are contributing to the increasing costs, with GLP-1 weight-loss drugs being a prominent one. Overall, employers told the organization that they’re bracing for higher costs for 2026 plans, with insurers already seeking double-digit increases in small-group plans.

“There is a quiet alarm bell going off. With GLP-1s, increases in hospital prices, tariffs, and other factors, we expect employer premiums to rise more sharply next year,” KFF President and CEO Drew Altman said in a statement. “Employers have nothing new in their arsenal that can address most of the drivers of their cost increases, and that could well result in an increase in deductibles and other forms of employee cost sharing again, a strategy that neither employers nor employees like but companies resort to in a pinch to hold down premium increases.”

For deductibles—the amount people pay before their plan’s coverage kicks in—costs for single coverage increased 17 percent since 2020. At that time, the average deductible was $1,617 for a covered person, while the average this year is $1,886. But deductibles can be much higher for those who work for a small employer. Among those workers, 36 percent had deductibles of $3,000 or higher this year.

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