Author name: Mike M.

big-name-drugs-see-price-drops-in-first-round-of-medicare-negotiations

Big-name drugs see price drops in first round of Medicare negotiations

price cut —

If the prices were set in 2023, Medicare would have saved $6 billion.

Prescription drugs are displayed at NYC Discount Pharmacy in Manhattan on July 23, 2024.

Enlarge / Prescription drugs are displayed at NYC Discount Pharmacy in Manhattan on July 23, 2024.

In the first round of direct price negotiations between Medicare and drug manufacturers, prices for 10 expensive and commonly used drugs saw price cuts between 38 percent to 79 percent compared to their 2023 list prices, the White House and the US Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) announced Thursday. The new negotiated prices will take effect on January 1, 2026.

The 10 drugs that were up for negotiations are used to treat various conditions, from diabetes, psoriasis, blood clots, heart failure, and chronic kidney disease to blood cancers. About 9 million people with Medicare use at least one of the drugs on the list. In 2023, the 10 drugs accounted for $56.2 billion in total Medicare spending, or about 20 percent of total gross spending by Medicare Part D prescription drug coverage. But in 2018, spending on the 10 drugs was just about $20 billion, rising to 46 billion in 2022—a 134 percent rise. In 2022, Medicare enrollees collectively paid $3.4 billion in out-of-pocket costs for these drugs.

The 10 drugs as well as their use, 2023 costs, negotiated prices, and savings.

Enlarge / The 10 drugs as well as their use, 2023 costs, negotiated prices, and savings.

For now, it’s unclear how much the newly set prices will actually save those who have Medicare enrollees in 2026. Overall costs and out-of-pocket costs will depend on each member’s coverage plans and other drug spending. Additionally, in 2025, Medicare Part D enrollees will have their out-of-pocket drug costs capped at $2,000, which alone could significantly lower costs for some beneficiaries before the negotiated prices take effect.

If the newly negotiated prices took effect in 2023, HHS estimates it would have saved Medicare $6 billion. HHS also estimates that the prices will save Medicare enrollees $1.5 billion in out-of-pocket costs in 2026.

The price negotiations have been ongoing since last August when HHS announced the first 10 drugs up for negotiation. Medicare said it held three meetings with each of the drug manufacturers since then. For five drugs, the process of offers and counteroffers resulted in an agreed-upon price, with Medicare accepting revised counteroffers from drugmakers for four of the drugs. For the other five drugs, Medicare made final written offers on prices that were eventually accepted. If a drugmaker had rejected the offer, it would have either had to pay large fees or pull its drug from Medicare plans.

“The negotiations were comprehensive. They were intense. It took both sides to reach a good deal,” HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra told reporters Wednesday night.

“Price-setting scheme”

Both the price negotiations and the $2,000 cap are provisions in the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), signed into law by President Biden in 2022. In a statement Thursday, Biden highlighted that Vice President Kamala Harris cast the tie-breaking vote to pass the legislation along party lines and that they are both committed to fighting Big Pharma. “[T]he Vice President and I are not backing down,” Biden said. “We will continue the fight to make sure all Americans can pay less for prescription drugs and to give more breathing room for American families.”

“Today’s announcement will be lifechanging for so many of our loved ones across the nation,” Harris said in her own statement, “and we are not stopping here.” She noted that the list of drugs up for Medicare negotiation will increase in each year, with an additional 15 drugs added in 2025.

In a scathing response to the negotiated prices, Steve Ubl—president of the industry group Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America (PhRMA)—called the negotiations a “price-setting scheme” and warned that patients would be disappointed. “There are no assurances patients will see lower out-of-pocket costs because the [IRA] did nothing to rein in abuses by insurance companies and PBMs who ultimately decide what medicines are covered and what patients pay at the pharmacy,” Ubl said. He went on to warn that IRA “fundamentally alters” the incentives for drug development and, as such, fewer drugs will be developed to treat cancer and many other conditions.

In a December 2023 report, the Congressional Budget Office estimated that “over the next 30 years, 13 fewer new drugs (of 1,300 estimated new drugs) will come to market as a result of the law.”

The pharmaceutical industry has unleashed a bevy of legal challenges to the negotiations, claiming they are unconstitutional. So far, it has lost every ruling.

Big-name drugs see price drops in first round of Medicare negotiations Read More »

behold,-diablo-is-fully-playable-in-your-browser

Behold, Diablo is fully playable in your browser

Stay a while and compile —

It controls and looks great, though the game was outshined by its sequels.

A browser window shows an old PC game

Enlarge / Diablo running in Firefox on macOS.

Samuel Axon

You can now play the original Diablo (and its expansion, Hellfire) in virtually any web browser on any computer with generally excellent performance and operating-as-expected controls. It’s all thanks to an open source project published on GitHub called Diabloweb that’s now being circulated by game developers on X.

In the README file in the project’s GitHub repository, the project’s developer (d07RiV) notes that it is based on DevilutionX, another open source project that did a lot of legwork to make Diablo run well on modern operating systems.

“I’ve modified the code to remove all dependencies and exposed the minimal required interface with JS, allowing the game to be compiled into WebAssembly,” writes d07RiV. “Event handling (especially in the menus) had to be modified significantly to fit the JS model.”

It’s pretty easy to set up; you just visit the website, upload a file, and get going.

You have to upload a file because the project doesn’t include the Diablo game files—you’ll have to provide those in the form of the DIABDAT.MPQ file in the Diablo install directory.

There are three above-board ways to source this MPQ file. First, you can, of course, own a physical copy of the original game. Alternatively, you can purchase the game on GOG and install it, then pull the file from the installation directory.

There’s also a shareware release of Diablo, and you can pull the SPAWN.MPQ file from that, and it works just fine. That’s not the full game, though, so that’s more for if you just want to try it.

  • This is the Diabloweb site, which offers brief instructions and prompts on how to get started.

    Samuel Axon

  • I downloaded the Diablo installer from GOG and ran it in a Windows VM on my Mac…

  • Here’s the file we’re looking for.

  • It was just a click on the website to upload that file and behold, Diablo in a browser.

    Samuel Axon

I played the game for about half an hour using the MPQ from the GOG version without any issues on Firefox on a Mac. (There’s no Mac version of the GOG installer, though, so I had to run the installer in a virtual Windows machine to get at the file.) The game is obviously primitive compared to more recent entries in the series (or even Diablo II), but it is an addictive blast to play regardless.

Behold, Diablo is fully playable in your browser Read More »

mysterious-“black-mesa”-website-says-it’s-“not-secretly-working-on-half-life-3”

Mysterious “Black Mesa” website says it’s “not secretly working on Half Life 3”

That’s what they want you to think —

It’s “actually a real company in the Boston area”—or is that just a cover?!

Kind of a weird image to post if you're trying to convince people you're not involved in a <em>Half-Life</em> ARG…” src=”https://cdn.arstechnica.net/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/blackmesa-800×449.jpg”></img><figcaption>
<p><a data-height=Enlarge / Kind of a weird image to post if you’re trying to convince people you’re not involved in a Half-Life ARG…

Here at Ars, we’re always on the lookout for hints and actions that suggest the long, long wait for Half-Life 3 may eventually come to an end. So when users across the Internet started making note of the mysterious and intriguingly named BlackMesa.com recently, our ears perked up for signs of a new promotional alternate reality game (ARG).

Alas, this seems like yet another false alarm. BlackMesa.com is simply the website for Black Mesa, which confirmed in a public statement that it is “actually a real company in the Boston area… working hard to assure and secure vaccine and other biological manufacturing production.”

HALF LIFE 3 MIGHT BE GETTING ANNOUNCED ON SEPTEMBER 30THhttps://t.co/hSytiq2GoR Just went live and it has a countdown at the bottom of the page, that ends on September 30th. When it finishes it will display a white text saying “That’s it.” pic.twitter.com/MK3QveRc6R

— PеQu (@ImPeQu) August 9, 2024

The BlackMesa.com domain name dates back to at least 2006, when the address was filled with search engine optimization ads by an outfit called MDNH, Inc. But in 2022, a page advertising the domain’s availability for purchase was suddenly replaced by a mysterious logo that bears a striking resemblance to the fictional Black Mesa logo in the games. And then there’s the hard-to-read cipher at the bottom, the kind of thing that an ARG might use to hide important information in plain sight.

The site stayed like that, to little wider notice or suspicion, until August 8, when Valve fans on social media began to “[wake] up to a Black Mesa website” that had suddenly been updated with a new header declaring, “Science requires process. Our insight defends it.” Others on social media were quick to note the old cipher text as a well as a new, obfuscated JavaScript countdown function with the internal name “Lambda Incident”. That countdown seemed to be pointing toward something happening on September 30, which seems like as good a time as any to announce Half-Life 3, right?

Truth is less interesting than fiction

The old Black Mesa web site, as it appeared for roughly two years, until last week. Note the cipher text on the bottom.

Enlarge / The old Black Mesa web site, as it appeared for roughly two years, until last week. Note the cipher text on the bottom.

The Valve faithful hoping this was a new version of the old Portal 2 Potato ARG had their hopes quickly dashed, though. Internet sleuths soon found a digital paper trail for Charles Fracchia, a research scientist who is listed on LinkedIn and elsewhere as the founder of “Black Mesa, a stealth company developing technologies that create provable assurance for advanced manufacturing workflows” since back in 2022. And by last Friday, the Black Mesa team put up a blog post quashing any game-related rumors that might be circulating.

“As much as we would be honored to be part of any Valve game—we do not work in this sector at all,” the blog post reads. “We are not secretly working on Half-Life 3, Project White Sands (whatever that is/may be) or any other Valve title—we’re just nerds working to secure the global bioeconomy.”

The team went on to thank the Half-Life community that had sent in “a ton of messages of support and curiosity” about the company, as well as “thousands of fake inquiries” that “made us laugh.” As for that old ciphertext? Turns out solving it simply unlocked a recruitment message seeking “engineers, cybersecurity professionals, and biologists” for the company. “KingPotatoVII please reach out, we’ve been trying to send you some swag for cracking the cipher a while back,” the Black Mesa team wrote with a smiley face emoji.

Any excuse to repost this video is a good one.

Despite the revelation of the real Black Mesa corporation, some hangers-on haven’t quite given up hope that this is all still just an extremely subtle bit of stealth marketing. “What if [actual scientist Charles Fraschia] is such a huge fan of Half-Life, like us, and decided to use his image/likeness to do this ARG for the game?” one Reddit user wrote last week. “Maybe he reached out and absolutely went full madlad with Valve to make this a magnum opus of an ARG. … Could be simply someone is heavy trolling us, and to be honest I’m not even mad because this is fun af!”

Keep hope alive, Valve faithful! Half-Life 3 is obviously just around the corner, no matter what anyone says! The truth is out there for those with eyes to see it!

Mysterious “Black Mesa” website says it’s “not secretly working on Half Life 3” Read More »

an-asteroid-wiped-out-the-dinosaurs,-not-a-comet,-new-study-finds

An asteroid wiped out the dinosaurs, not a comet, new study finds

It came from outer space —

Analysis of ruthenium isotopes showed the impactor was a carbonaceous-type asteroid.

Artist impression of a large asteroid impacting on Earth such as the Chicxulub event that caused the end-Cretaceous mass extinction, 66 million years ago.

Enlarge / Artist impression of a large asteroid impacting on Earth, such as the Chicxulub event that caused the end-Cretaceous mass extinction 66 million years ago.

Mark Garlick

Some 66 million years ago, an errant asteroid wiped out three-quarters of all plant and animal species on Earth, most notably taking down the dinosaurs. That has long been the scientific consensus. However, three years ago, Harvard astronomers offered an alternative hypothesis: The culprit may have been a fragment of a comet thrown off-course by Jupiter’s gravity and ripped apart by the Sun.

Now an international team of scientists have reaffirmed the original hypothesis, according to a new paper published in the journal Science. They analyzed ruthenium isotopes from the Chicxulub impact crater and concluded the impact was due to a carbonaceous-type asteroid, likely hailing from beyond Jupiter.

As previously reported, the most widely accepted explanation for what triggered that catastrophic mass extinction is known as the “Alvarez hypothesis,” after the late physicist Luis Alvarez and his geologist son, Walter. In 1980, they proposed that the extinction event may have been caused by a massive asteroid or comet hitting the Earth. They based this conclusion on their analysis of sedimentary layers at the Cretaceous-Paleogene boundary (the K-Pg boundary, formerly known as the K-T boundary) found all over the world, which included unusually high concentrations of iridium—a metal more commonly found in asteroids than on Earth. (That same year, Dutch geophysicist Jan Smit independently arrived at a similar conclusion.)

The 66-million-year-old Cretaceous-Paleogene (K-Pg) boundary layer at Stevns Klint in Denmark.

Enlarge / The 66-million-year-old Cretaceous-Paleogene (K-Pg) boundary layer at Stevns Klint in Denmark.

Philippe Claeys

Since then, scientists have identified a likely impact site: a large crater in Chicxulub, Mexico, in the Yucatan Peninsula, first discovered by geophysicists in the late 1970s. The impactor that created it was sufficiently large (between 11 and 81 kilometers, or 7 to 50 miles) to melt, shock, and eject granite from deep inside the Earth, probably causing a megatsunami and ejecting vaporized rock and sulfates into the atmosphere.

This in turn had a devastating effect on the global climate, leading to mass extinction. In 2022, scientists suggested that one reason so many species perished while others survived may have been because the impact occurred in the spring (at least in the Northern Hemisphere), thereby interrupting the annual reproductive cycles of many species.

In 2016, a scientific drilling project led by the International Ocean Discovery Program took core samples from the crater’s peak ring, confirming that the rock had been subjected to immense pressure over a period of minutes. A 2020 paper concluded that the impactor struck at the worst possible angle and caused maximum damage. It has been estimated that the impact would have released energy over a billion times higher than the atomic bombs dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki in 1945.

Asteroid or comet?

Harvard’s Avi Loeb and his then-undergraduate student Amir Siraj challenged the asteroid-as-impactor hypothesis in a 2021 paper, proposing instead that the impact was caused by a special kind of comet—originating from a field of debris at the edge of our solar system known as the Oort cloud—that was thrown off course by Jupiter’s gravity toward the Sun. The Sun’s powerful tidal forces then ripped off pieces off the comet—akin to what happened to the comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 when it crashed into Jupiter in 1994—and one of the larger fragments of this “cometary shrapnel” eventually collided with Earth.

Loeb and Siraj’s analysis was based on numerical simulations to calculate the flux of long-period comets in our solar system. They found that events like the one described above should happen frequently enough and produce enough sufficiently large fragments to result in a significantly higher impact rate of Chicxulub-sized impactors than the background comet or asteroid populations. They argued that their comet hypothesis would also explain the Chicxulub impactor’s unusual composition of carbonaceous chondrite—rare for asteroids but more common for long-period comets—which is consistent with an Oort cloud origin rather than the main asteroid belt.

This latest paper addresses that latter point in particular. Mario Fischer-Gödde of the University of Cologne in Germany and his co-authors took samples from the K-Pg boundary layer from a site at Stevns Klint in Denmark and analyzed the ruthenium isotopes via plasma mass spectrometry. They did the same for samples taken from the sites of five other known asteroid impacts over the last 541 million years, as well as ancient Archean samples (between 3.5 to 3.2 billion years old).

Fischer-Gödde et al. concluded that the ruthenium signatures in the K-Pg samples were a close match to asteroids known as carbonaceous chondrites, so the impact most likely resulted from a C-type asteroid that hailed from the outer Solar System. They were able to rule out the possibility of a comet impactor proposed by Loeb and Siraj since the ruthenium data was inconsistent with that hypothesis. Most of the other samples had ruthenium isotope signatures consistent with salicaceous (S-type) asteroids from the inner Solar System, although the ancient Archean samples were also consist with a C-type asteroid.

Science, 2024. DOI: 10.1126/science.adk4868  (About DOIs).

An asteroid wiped out the dinosaurs, not a comet, new study finds Read More »

new-zealand-official-signs-extradition-order-to-send-kim-dotcom-to-us

New Zealand official signs extradition order to send Kim Dotcom to US

Dotcom won’t be megauploaded to US just yet —

12 years after Megaupload shutdown, Dotcom will keep fighting extradition to US.

Kim Dotcom smiling and speaking to reporters outside a courthouse

Enlarge / Kim Dotcom speaks to the media after a bail hearing at Auckland District Court on December 1, 2014, in Auckland, New Zealand.

Getty Images | Fiona Goodall

Kim Dotcom has lost yet another ruling in his attempt to avoid extradition from New Zealand to the United States, over a dozen years after the file-sharing site Megaupload was shut down. But he hasn’t run out of appeal options yet.

On Thursday, a government spokesperson confirmed that New Zealand Justice Minister Paul Goldsmith signed an extradition order for Dotcom, according to Reuters.

“I have received extensive advice from the Ministry of Justice on this matter,” Goldsmith said in a statement quoted by numerous news organizations. “I considered all of the information carefully and have decided that Mr. Dotcom should be surrendered to the US to face trial. As is common practice, I have allowed Mr. Dotcom a short period of time to consider and take advice on my decision. I will not, therefore, be commenting further at this stage.”

The latest extradition decision, like previous ones, is not final. Dotcom said this week that he will appeal. “By the time the appeals are done, if ever, the world will be a very different place,” he wrote.

“I love New Zealand. I’m not leaving,” he also posted today.

A New Zealand Herald article today said that Dotcom’s expected appeal could drag the case out another few years. “If extradition goes ahead, it could be years from now,” the newspaper wrote.

Dotcom blasts “obedient US colony”

Dotcom blasted the New Zealand government, writing that “the obedient US colony in the South Pacific just decided to extradite me for what users uploaded to Megaupload, unsolicited, and what copyright holders were able to remove with direct delete access instantly and without question.”

Megaupload was shut down by US authorities in January 2012. Dotcom and others were indicted on charges of conspiracy to commit racketeering, conspiracy to commit money laundering, conspiracy to commit copyright infringement, criminal copyright infringement, aiding and abetting of criminal copyright infringement, and wire fraud.

Dotcom has been able to delay extradition despite numerous rulings against him. One New Zealand judge ordered Dotcom’s extradition in December 2015. The extradition order was upheld in 2017 by one appeals court and again in 2018 by another appeals court.

The New Zealand Supreme Court ruled against Dotcom and two other defendants, Mathias Ortmann and Bram van der Kolk, in December 2021. Ortmann and van der Kolk reached a deal that let them “avoid being extradited to the US in exchange for facing charges in New Zealand,” an Associated Press article in May 2022 said.

The AP article said that despite the Supreme Court ruling against the three Megaupload defendants, extradition still required approval from the justice minister. “And even that decision could be appealed,” the AP wrote.

After the 2021 Supreme Court ruling, Stuff quoted Victoria University law professor Geoff McLay as saying that judicial review of an extradition decision by the justice minister would likely involve hearings before the New Zealand High Court, Court of Appeal and Supreme Court. If the justice minister “makes a decision they should be extradited, I would imagine they would immediately judicially review his decision which will then kick off the whole shebang again,” McLay said at the time.

In a May 2022 podcast, New Zealand Herald investigative reporter David Fisher said, “I think there’s a good possibility that we have another three or five years in court wrangles through this case. You might have the justice minister sign the extradition warrant, but then that will get appealed to the High Court through judicial review, then it will go to the Court of Appeal and on to the Supreme Court. And when you get to a point three or five years down the track where Dotcom’s health may not be something the US system is able to deal with—and that could be good, fresh grounds for bouncing extradition.”

New Zealand official signs extradition order to send Kim Dotcom to US Read More »

5th-circuit-rules-geofence-warrants-illegal-in-win-for-phone-users’-privacy

5th Circuit rules geofence warrants illegal in win for phone users’ privacy

Illustration of map pins on a cityscape in an abstract representation of network connections

Getty Images |

A federal appeals court ruled on Friday that geofence warrants, which are used to identify all users or devices in a geographic area, are prohibited by the Fourth Amendment’s protection against unreasonable searches.

The ruling was issued by the US Court of Appeals for the 5th Circuit, which is generally regarded as the most conservative appeals court. The 5th Circuit holding creates a circuit split with the 4th Circuit, which last month rejected a different Fourth Amendment challenge to geofence warrants.

“This court ‘cannot forgive the requirements of the Fourth Amendment in the name of law enforcement.’ Accordingly, we hold that geofence warrants are general warrants categorically prohibited by the Fourth Amendment,” the August 9 ruling from the 5th Circuit said.

The case, United States v. Smith, involves three Mississippi men convicted of a 2018 armed robbery of a mail truck. Despite ruling geofence warrants to be unconstitutional, the 5th Circuit denied the convicts’ motion to suppress evidence because “law enforcement acted in good faith in relying on this type of warrant.”

“We hold that geofence warrants are modern-day general warrants and are unconstitutional under the Fourth Amendment. However, considering law enforcement’s reasonable conduct in this case in light of the novelty of this type of warrant, we uphold the district court’s determination that suppression was unwarranted under the good-faith exception,” the court said.

4th Amendment scholar stunned

Despite the evidence being allowed, the court’s overall holding against geofence warrants is significant. The Electronic Frontier Foundation (EFF) called the 5th Circuit ruling “a major decision.”

“Closely following arguments EFF has made in a number of cases, the court found that geofence warrants constitute the sort of ‘general, exploratory rummaging’ that the drafters of the Fourth Amendment intended to outlaw. EFF applauds this decision because it is essential that every person feels like they can simply take their cell phone out into the world without the fear that they might end up a criminal suspect because their location data was swept up in an open-ended digital dragnet,” the nonprofit group focused on digital rights said.

The ruling impressed Berkeley Law Professor Orin Kerr, a Fourth Amendment scholar. The 5th Circuit decision “makes my jaw drop,” he wrote in a post on Reason’s Volokh Conspiracy blog.

“The case creates a split with the Fourth Circuit on one important issue, and it creates another split with the Colorado Supreme Court on an even more important issue,” Kerr wrote.

The 4th Circuit ruling on July 9, in United States v. Chatrie, said “that the government did not conduct a Fourth Amendment search when it obtained two hours’ worth of Chatrie’s location information, since he voluntarily exposed this information to Google.” The 4th Circuit panel vote was 2-1.

It’s no coincidence that Google was involved in both the 4th and 5th Circuit cases. “Geofence warrants require a provider—almost always Google—to search its entire reserve of user location data to identify all users or devices located within a geographic area during a time period specified by law enforcement,” the EFF explained in December 2023 after Google implemented a technical change that could make it harder to provide mass location data in response to such warrants.

Geofence warrants skyrocketed

Requests for geofence warrants have skyrocketed since Google received its first such request in 2016. “In 2019, Google was receiving about 180 geofence warrant requests per week from law enforcement around the country, amounting to about 9,000 geofence requests for that year,” the 5th Circuit ruling said. “By 2020, that number went up to 11,500 geofence warrant requests. By 2021, geofence warrants comprised more than 25 percent of all warrant requests Google received in the United States.”

Kerr’s post explained why he thinks the 5th Circuit ruling is so significant:

The Fifth Circuit makes two important holdings. First, accessing any amount of geofence records is a search under an expansive reading of Carpenter v. United States [a 2018 Supreme Court ruling]. That’s the issue that creates the split with the Fourth Circuit in United States v. Chatrie. As I noted just a few weeks ago, Chatrie held that accessing such records is not a search in the first place, at least if the records sought are relatively limited in scale. The Fifth Circuit expressly disagrees.

Second, and much more dramatically, the Fifth Circuit rules that because the database of geofence records is so large, and because the whole database must be scanned through to find matches, the Fourth Amendment does not allow courts to issue warrants to collect those records. In legal terms, it is impossible to have a warrant particular enough to authorize the surveillance. The government can’t gather these kinds of online records at all, in other words, even with a warrant based on probable cause. This holding conflicts with a recent ruling of the Colorado Supreme Court, People v. Seymour, and more broadly raises questions of whether any digital warrants for online contents are constitutional.

After the 2018 mail-truck robbery, video from a camera at a nearby farm office appeared to show a suspect using a cell phone. But in November 2018, “nine months after the robbery, the Postal Inspection Service had not been able to identify any suspects from video footage or witness interviews,” the 5th Circuit ruling said.

Postal inspectors who were on the case initially didn’t know what a geofence warrant is. When they learned about this type of warrant, they applied for one “seeking information from Google to locate potential suspects and witnesses in connection to the robbery.” The geofence warrant “authorized an hour-long search… within a geofence covering approximately 98,192 square meters around the Lake Cormorant Post Office.”

5th Circuit rules geofence warrants illegal in win for phone users’ privacy Read More »

why-cricket’s-latest-bowling-technique-is-so-effective-against-batters

Why cricket’s latest bowling technique is so effective against batters

Some cricket bowlers favor keeping the arm horizontal during delivery, the better to trick the batsmen.

Enlarge / Some cricket bowlers favor keeping the arm horizontal during delivery, the better to trick the batsmen.

Although the sport of cricket has been around for centuries in some form, the game strategy continues to evolve in the 21st century. Among the newer strategies employed by “bowlers”—the equivalent of the pitcher in baseball—is delivering the ball with the arm horizontally positioned close to the shoulder line, which has proven remarkably effective in “tricking” batsmen in their perception of the ball’s trajectory.

Scientists at Amity University Dubai in the United Arab Emirates were curious about the effectiveness of the approach, so they tested the aerodynamics of cricket balls in wind tunnel experiments. The team concluded that this style of bowling creates a high-speed spinning effect that shifts the ball’s trajectory mid-flight—an effect also seen in certain baseball pitches, according to a new paper published in the journal Physics of Fluids.

“The unique and unorthodox bowling styles demonstrated by cricketers have drawn significant attention, particularly emphasizing their proficiency with a new ball in early stages of a match,” said co-author Kizhakkelan Sudhakaran Siddharth, a mechanical engineer at Amity University Dubai. “Their bowling techniques frequently deceive batsmen, rendering these bowlers effective throughout all phases of a match in almost all formats of the game.”

As previously reported, any moving ball leaves a trail of air as it travels; the inevitable drag slows the ball down. The ball’s trajectory is affected by diameter and speed and by tiny irregularities on the surface. Baseballs, for example, are not completely smooth; they have stitching in a figure-eight pattern. Those stitches are bumpy enough to affect the airflow around the baseball as it’s thrown toward home plate. As a baseball moves, it creates a whirlpool of air around it, commonly known as the Magnus effect. The raised seams churn the air around the ball, creating high-pressure zones in various locations (depending on the pitch type) that can cause deviations in its trajectory.

Physicists have been enthusiastically studying baseballs since the 1940s, when Lyman Briggs became intrigued by whether a curveball actually curves. Initially, he enlisted the aid of the Washington Senators pitching staff at Griffith Stadium to measure the spin of a pitched ball; the idea was to determine how much the curve of a baseball depends on its spin and speed.

Briggs followed up with wind tunnel experiments at the National Bureau of Standards (now the National Institute of Standards and Technology) to make even more precise measurements since he could control most variables. He found that spin rather than speed was the key factor in causing a pitched ball to curve and that a curveball could dip up to 17.5 inches as it travels from the pitcher’s mound to home plate.

The first recorded photo of a cricket match taken on July 25, 1857, by Roger Fenton.

Enlarge / The first recorded photo of a cricket match taken on July 25, 1857, by Roger Fenton.

Public domain

In 2018, we reported on a Utah State University study to explain the fastball’s unexpected twist in experiments using Little League baseballs. The USU scientists fired the balls one by one through a smoke-filled chamber. Two red sensors detected the balls as they zoomed past, triggering lasers that acted as flashbulbs. They then used particle image velocimetry to calculate airflow at any given spot around the ball. Conclusion: It all comes down to spin speed, spin axis, and the orientation of the ball, and there is no meaningful aerodynamical difference between a two-seam fastball and a four-seam fastball.

In 2022, two physicists developed a laser-guided speed measurement system to measure the change in speed of a baseball mid-flight and then used that measurement to calculate the acceleration, the various forces acting on the ball, and the lift and drag. They suggested their approach could also be used for other ball sports like cricket and soccer.

The Armfield C15-15 Wake Survey Rake measured pressure downstream of the ball.

Enlarge / The Armfield C15-15 Wake Survey Rake measured pressure downstream of the ball.

A.B. Faazil et al., 2024

Similarly, golf ball dimples reduce the drag flow by creating a turbulent boundary layer of air, while the ball’s spin generates lift by creating a higher air pressure area on the bottom of the ball than on the top. The surface patterns on volleyballs can also affect their trajectories. Conventional volleyballs have six panels, but more recent designs have eight panels, a hexagonal honeycomb pattern, or dimples. A 2019 study found that the surface panels on conventional volleyballs can give rise to unpredictable trajectories on float serves (which have no spin), and modifying the surface patterns could make for a more consistent flight.

From a physics standpoint, the float serve is similar to throwing a knuckleball in baseball, which is largely unaffected by the Magnus force because it has no spin. Its trajectory is determined entirely by how the seams affect the turbulent airflow around the baseball. The seams of a baseball can change the speed (velocity) of the air near the ball’s surface, speeding the ball up or slowing it down, depending on whether said seams are on the top or the bottom. The panels on conventional volleyballs have a similar effect.

Why cricket’s latest bowling technique is so effective against batters Read More »

the-pixel-9-phones-are-big-cameras-and-screens-soldered-onto-gemini-ai-ambitions

The Pixel 9 phones are big cameras and screens soldered onto Gemini AI ambitions

A Google Pixel 9 Fold and Pixel 9 Pro XL, side by side on white background, with Fold open and 9 Pro XL front and back shown on separate models.

Google / Aurich Lawson

Google announced its fall lineup of Pixel phones today: three standard phones and a second tablet-esque folding model. There are new chips, new cameras, Satellite SOS, and some notable promises, like the 9 phones being “twice as durable” as their Pixel 8 equivalents and getting seven years of updates. But as you might expect this year, they’re primarily showcases for all the things Google’s Gemini AI promises to do for you.

Here’s what’s new, what’s coming, and when you can ask your phone to make a shopping list for taco night for a family of six.

Google

Gemini is in the power button, the screenshots, and a free premium subscription

It’s not just you—Google really is “infusing AI into everything we do,” as noted on its Keyword blog today. Here’s a short list of what Google says Android phone owners can do with Gemini:

  • Speak to Gemini “naturally the way you would with another person”
  • Bring up an overlay (holding power button) over other apps to ask about things on-screen
  • Generate images from that overlay and drop them into apps, like Gmail or Messages
  • Use “Gemini Live,” a “mobile conversational experience” in which you could, for example, “brainstorm potential jobs well-suited for your skillset or degree”

Gemini Live is launching today for Gemini Advanced subscribers on Android, with iOS coming soon. New extensions to Gemini, and contextual overlay for non-Pixel devices, should arrive “in the coming weeks.”

You might think you won’t use Google’s Gemini as much as Google thinks you will, but Google aims to change your mind with one free year of the Google One AI Premium Plan (i.e., “Gemini Advanced“), which is bundled into a Pixel 9 Pro or Pro XL purchase. That also grants you access to what Google is doing with Gemini in Gmail, Docs, and maybe search, along with a 2TB storage plan.

Holding the power button on an AI-enabled Pixel 9 Pro will bring up a dashboard that allows for writing, asking, or searching through interconnected Google apps for information. Like Google Lens, you can ask Gemini about what’s on your screen or ask it about something in a photo you snap. It’s a little unclear which features may eventually get backported to the Pixel 9 or other Android phones generally. That’s probably the idea: if you’re excited about this stuff, Google strongly suggests paying $200 more.

Google

The Pixel 9 phones are big cameras and screens soldered onto Gemini AI ambitions Read More »

the-many,-many-signs-that-kamala-harris’-rally-crowds-aren’t-ai-creations

The many, many signs that Kamala Harris’ rally crowds aren’t AI creations

No, you haven't been

Enlarge / No, you haven’t been “AI’d.” That’s a real crowd.

Donald Trump may have coined a new term in his latest false attack on Kamala Harris’ presidential campaign. In a pair of posts on Truth Social over the weekend, the former president said that Vice President Kamala Harris “A.I.’d” photos of a huge crowd that showed up to see her speak at a Detroit airport campaign rally last week.

“There was nobody at the plane, and she ‘A.I.’d’ it, and showed a massive ‘crowd’ of so-called followers, BUT THEY DIDN’T EXIST!” Trump wrote. “She’s a CHEATER. She had NOBODY waiting, and the ‘crowd’ looked like 10,000 people! Same thing is happening with her fake ‘crowds’ at her speeches.”

The Harris campaign responded with its own post saying that the image is “an actual photo of a 15,000-person crowd for Harris-Walz in Michigan.”

Aside from the novel use of “AI” as a verb, Trump’s post marks the first time, that we know of, that a US presidential candidate has personally raised the specter of AI-generated fakery by an opponent (rather than by political consultants or random social media users). The accusations, false as they are, prey on widespread fears and misunderstandings over the trustworthiness of online information in the AI age.

It would be nice to think that we could just say Trump’s claims here are categorically false and leave it at that. But as artificial intelligence tools become increasingly good at generating photorealistic images, it’s worth outlining the many specific ways we can tell that Harris’ crowd photos are indeed authentic. Consider this a guide for potential techniques you can use the next time you come across accusations that some online image has been “A.I.’d” to fool you.

Context and sourcing

By far the easiest way to tell Harris’ crowds are real is from the vast number of corroborating sources showing those same crowds. Both the AP and Getty have numerous shots of the rally crowd from multiple angles, as do journalists and attendees who were at the event. Local news sources posted video of the crowds at the event, as did multiple attendees on the ground. Reporters from multiple outlets reported directly on the crowds in their accounts: Local outlet MLive estimated the crowd size at 15,000, for instance, while The New York Times noted that the event was “witnessed by thousands of people and news outlets, including The New York Times, and the number of attendees claimed by her campaign is in line with what was visible on the ground.”

The Harris/Walz rally in Detroit is buzzing after a performance from the Detroit Youth Choir. #Michigan pic.twitter.com/sdFQvHhG3I

— Nora Eckert (@NoraEckert) August 7, 2024

Suffice it to say that this mountain of evidence from direct sources weighs more heavily than marked-up images from conservative commentators like Chuck Callesto and Dinesh D’Souza, both of whom have been caught spreading election disinformation in the past.

When it comes to accusations of AI fakery, the more disparate sources of information you have, the better. While a single source can easily generate a plausible-looking image of an event, multiple independent sources showing the same event from multiple angles are much less likely to be in on the same hoax. Photos that line up with video evidence are even better, especially since creating convincing long-form videos of humans or complex scenes remains a challenge for many AI tools.

It’s also important to track down the original source of whatever alleged AI image you’re looking at. It’s incredibly easy for a social media user to create an AI-generated image, claim it came from a news report or live footage of an event, then use obvious flaws in that fake image as “evidence” that the event itself was faked. Links to original imagery from an original source’s own website or verified account are much more reliable than screengrabs that could have originated anywhere (and/or been modified by anyone).

The many, many signs that Kamala Harris’ rally crowds aren’t AI creations Read More »

push-alerts-from-tiktok-include-fake-news,-expired-tsunami-warning

Push alerts from TikTok include fake news, expired tsunami warning

Broken —

News-style notifications include false claims about Taylor Swift, other misleading info.

illustration showing a phone with TikTok logo

FT montage/Getty Images

TikTok has been sending inaccurate and misleading news-style alerts to users’ phones, including a false claim about Taylor Swift and a weeks-old disaster warning, intensifying fears about the spread of misinformation on the popular video-sharing platform.

Among alerts seen by the Financial Times was a warning about a tsunami in Japan, labeled “BREAKING,” that was posted in late January, three weeks after an earthquake had struck.

Other notifications falsely stated that “Taylor Swift Canceled All Tour Dates in What She Called ‘Racist Florida’” and highlighted a five-year “ban” for a US baseball player that originated as an April Fool’s day prank.

The notifications, which sometimes contain summaries from user-generated posts, pop up on screen in the style of a news alert. Researchers say that format, adopted widely to boost engagement through personalized video recommendations, may make users less critical of the veracity of the content and open them up to misinformation.

“Notifications have this additional stamp of authority,” said Laura Edelson, a researcher at Northeastern University, in Boston. “When you get a notification about something, it’s often assumed to be something that has been curated by the platform and not just a random thing from your feed.”

Social media groups such as TikTok, X, and Meta are facing greater scrutiny to police their platforms, particularly in a year of major national elections, including November’s vote in the US. The rise of artificial intelligence adds to the pressure given that the fast-evolving technology makes it quicker and easier to spread misinformation, including through synthetic media, known as deepfakes.

TikTok, which has more than 1 billion global users, has repeatedly promised to step up its efforts to counter misinformation in response to pressure from governments around the world, including the UK and EU. In May, the video-sharing platform committed to becoming the first major social media network to label some AI-generated content automatically.

The false claim about Swift canceling her tour in Florida, which also circulated on X, mirrored an article published in May in the satirical newspaper The Dunning-Kruger Times, although this article was not linked or directly referred to in the TikTok post.

At least 20 people said on a comment thread that they had clicked on the notification and were directed to a video on TikTok repeating the claim, even though they did not follow the account. At least one person in the thread said they initially thought the notification “was a news article.”

Swift is still scheduled to perform three concerts in Miami in October and has not publicly called Florida “racist.”

Another push notification inaccurately stated that a Japanese pitcher who plays for the Los Angeles Dodgers faced a ban from Major League Baseball: “Shohei Ohtani has been BANNED from the MLB for 5 years following his gambling investigation… ”

The words directly matched the description of a post uploaded as an April Fools’ day prank. Tens of commenters on the original video, however, reported receiving alerts in mid-April. Several said they had initially believed it before they checked other sources.

Users have also reported notifications that appeared to contain news updates but were generated weeks after the event.

One user received an alert on January 23 that read: “BREAKING: A tsunami alert has been issued in Japan after a major earthquake.” The notification appeared to refer to a natural disaster warning issued more than three weeks earlier after an earthquake struck Japan’s Noto peninsula on New Year’s Day.

TikTok said it had removed the specific notifications flagged by the FT.

The alerts appear automatically to scrape the descriptions of posts that are receiving, or are likely to receive, high levels of engagement on the viral video app, owned by China’s ByteDance, researchers said. They seem to be tailored to users’ interests, which means that each one is likely to be limited to a small pool of people.

“The way in which those alerts are positioned, it can feel like the platform is speaking directly to [users] and not just a poster,” said Kaitlyn Regehr, an associate professor of digital humanities at University College London.

TikTok declined to reveal how the app determined which videos to promote through notifications, but the sheer volume of personalized content recommendations must be “algorithmically generated,” said Dani Madrid-Morales, co-lead of the University of Sheffield’s Disinformation Research Cluster.

Edelson, who is also co-director of the Cybersecurity for Democracy group, suggested that a responsible push notification algorithm could be weighted towards trusted sources, such as verified publishers or officials. “The question is: Are they choosing a high-traffic thing from an authoritative source?” she said. “Or is this just a high-traffic thing?”

Additional reporting by Hannah Murphy in San Francisco and Cristina Criddle in London.

© 2024 The Financial Times Ltd. All rights reserved. Not to be redistributed, copied, or modified in any way.

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almost-unfixable-“sinkclose”-bug-affects-hundreds-of-millions-of-amd-chips

Almost unfixable “Sinkclose” bug affects hundreds of millions of AMD chips

Deep insecurity —

Worse-case scenario: “You basically have to throw your computer away.”

Security flaws in your computer’s firmware, the deep-seated code that loads first when you turn the machine on and controls even how its operating system boots up, have long been a target for hackers looking for a stealthy foothold. But only rarely does that kind of vulnerability appear not in the firmware of any particular computer maker, but in the chips found across hundreds of millions of PCs and servers. Now security researchers have found one such flaw that has persisted in AMD processors for decades, and that would allow malware to burrow deep enough into a computer’s memory that, in many cases, it may be easier to discard a machine than to disinfect it.

At the Defcon hacker conference, Enrique Nissim and Krzysztof Okupski, researchers from the security firm IOActive, plan to present a vulnerability in AMD chips they’re calling Sinkclose. The flaw would allow hackers to run their own code in one of the most privileged modes of an AMD processor, known as System Management Mode, designed to be reserved only for a specific, protected portion of its firmware. IOActive’s researchers warn that it affects virtually all AMD chips dating back to 2006, or possibly even earlier.

Nissim and Okupski note that exploiting the bug would require hackers to already have obtained relatively deep access to an AMD-based PC or server, but that the Sinkclose flaw would then allow them to plant their malicious code far deeper still. In fact, for any machine with one of the vulnerable AMD chips, the IOActive researchers warn that an attacker could infect the computer with malware known as a “bootkit” that evades antivirus tools and is potentially invisible to the operating system, while offering a hacker full access to tamper with the machine and surveil its activity. For systems with certain faulty configurations in how a computer maker implemented AMD’s security feature known as Platform Secure Boot—which the researchers warn encompasses the large majority of the systems they tested—a malware infection installed via Sinkclose could be harder yet to detect or remediate, they say, surviving even a reinstallation of the operating system.

“Imagine nation-state hackers or whoever wants to persist on your system. Even if you wipe your drive clean, it’s still going to be there,” says Okupski. “It’s going to be nearly undetectable and nearly unpatchable.” Only opening a computer’s case, physically connecting directly to a certain portion of its memory chips with a hardware-based programming tool known as SPI Flash programmer and meticulously scouring the memory would allow the malware to be removed, Okupski says.

Nissim sums up that worst-case scenario in more practical terms: “You basically have to throw your computer away.”

In a statement shared with WIRED, AMD acknowledged IOActive’s findings, thanked the researchers for their work, and noted that it has “released mitigation options for its AMD EPYC datacenter products and AMD Ryzen PC products, with mitigations for AMD embedded products coming soon.” (The term “embedded,” in this case, refers to AMD chips found in systems such as industrial devices and cars.) For its EPYC processors designed for use in data-center servers, specifically, the company noted that it released patches earlier this year. AMD declined to answer questions in advance about how it intends to fix the Sinkclose vulnerability, or for exactly which devices and when, but it pointed to a full list of affected products that can be found on its website’s security bulletin page.

Almost unfixable “Sinkclose” bug affects hundreds of millions of AMD chips Read More »

elon-musk’s-lawsuit-over-alleged-x-ad-boycott-“a-very-weak-case,”-professor-says

Elon Musk’s lawsuit over alleged X ad boycott “a very weak case,” professor says

Illustration with three pictures of Elon Musk. In two of the photos there are dollar signs over Musk's eyes, in the other photo there are X logos instead.

Aurich Lawson | Getty Images

Antitrust law professors aren’t impressed by Elon Musk’s lawsuit alleging a supposed X advertising boycott amounts to an antitrust violation. Based on the initial complaint filed by Musk’s X Corp., it looks like “a very weak case,” Vanderbilt Law School Associate Dean for Research Rebecca Haw Allensworth told Ars.

“Given how difficult this will be to win, I would call it an unusual strategy,” she said.

The lawsuit against the World Federation of Advertisers (WFA) and several large corporations says that the alleged boycott is “a naked restraint of trade without countervailing benefits to competition or consumers.” The “collective action among competing advertisers to dictate brand safety standards to be applied by social media platforms shortcuts the competitive process and allows the collective views of a group of advertisers with market power to override the interests of consumers,” X claims.

Musk already won a victory of sorts as the WFA yesterday shut down the Global Alliance for Responsible Media (GARM) initiative that is the main subject of X’s allegations. “GARM is a small, not-for-profit initiative, and recent allegations that unfortunately misconstrue its purpose and activities have caused a distraction and significantly drained its resources and finances. GARM therefore is making the difficult decision to discontinue its activities,” the WFA said.

But the GARM shutdown won’t result in Musk’s company obtaining any financial damages unless X also wins in court. The company formerly named Twitter sued in a federal court in Texas, part of the conservative 5th Circuit, a venue that Musk likely believes will be more favorable to him than a court in another state. The District Court judge overseeing the lawsuit is also handling Musk’s case against Media Matters for America, a nonprofit that conducted research on ads being placed next to pro-Nazi content on X.

Texas is one of three states, along with Louisiana and Mississippi, where appeals go to the US Court of Appeals for the 5th Circuit. “The 5th Circuit is well known as the most conservative circuit in the country,” Professor Stephen Calkins of Wayne State University Law School told Ars.

“The law here is very unfavorable to X”

Despite the potentially friendly Texas court venue, Musk’s X faces a high legal bar in proving that it was the victim of an illegal boycott.

Allensworth said X must show “that the defendants did actually enter into an agreement—that they had a deal with each other to pull advertising spend from X as a group, not that each brand did it individually to protect their own brand status or make their own statement about Elon Musk. The law here is very unfavorable to X, but the complaint describes a lot of conduct that could support a jury or judge finding an agreement. But it’s a fact question, and we only have half the story.”

A bigger problem for Musk “is that X must show that the boycott harmed competition, not just that it harmed X,” Allensworth said. “The complaint is far from clear on what competition was harmed. A typical boycott will harm competition among the boycotters, but that doesn’t seem to be what the complaint is about. The complaint says the competition that was harmed was between platforms (like X/Twitter and Facebook, for example) but that’s a bit garbled. Again, we may know more as the suit develops.”

There’s one more problem that may be even bigger than the first two, according to Allensworth. Even if X proves there was an explicit agreement to pull advertising and that a boycott harmed competition, the advertisers would have a strong defense under the First Amendment’s right to speech.

“Concerted refusals to deal (boycotts) are not vulnerable to antitrust suit if they are undertaken to make a statement—essentially to engage in speech,” Allensworth explained. “It would seem here like that was the purpose of this boycott (akin to lunch counter boycotts in the ’60s, which were beyond the reach of the antitrust laws). Given that the Supreme Court has only increased First Amendment rights for corporations recently, I think this defense is very strong.”

All of those factors “add up, to me, to a very weak case,” Allensworth told Ars. But she cautions that at this early stage of litigation, “there’s a lot we don’t know; no one can judge a case based on the complaint alone—that’s the point of the adversarial system.”

An X court win wouldn’t force companies to advertise on the platform. But “if somehow they prevail, X could ask for treble damages—three times the revenue they lost because of the boycott,” Allensworth said.

Elon Musk’s lawsuit over alleged X ad boycott “a very weak case,” professor says Read More »