Asteroid defense mission shifted the orbit of more than its target

On September 26, 2022, NASA’s Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) spacecraft crashed into a binary asteroid system. By intentionally ramming a probe into the 160-meter-wide moonlet named Dimorphos, the smaller of the two asteroids, humanity demonstrated that the kinetic impact method of planetary defense actually works. The immediate result was that Dimorphos’ orbital period around Didymos, its larger parent body, was slashed by 33 minutes.

Of course, altering a moonlet’s local orbit doesn’t seem like enough to safeguard Earth from civilization-ending impacts. But now, as long-term observational data has come in, it seems we accomplished more than that. DART actually changed the trajectory of the entire Didymos binary system, altering its orbit around the Sun.

Tracking space rocks

Measuring the orbital shift of a 780-meter-wide primary asteroid and its moonlet from millions of miles away isn’t trivial. When DART slammed into Dimorphos, it didn’t knock the binary system wildly off its trajectory around the Sun. The change in the system’s heliocentric trajectory was expected to be small, a minuscule nudge that would become apparent only after months or years of continuous observation. By analyzing enough painstakingly gathered data, a global team of researchers led by Rahil Makadia at the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign has now determined the consequences of the DART impact.

To find the infinitesimal deviation DART created, Makadia’s team relied mostly on a technique called stellar occultation. When an asteroid passes in front of a distant star from the perspective of an observer on Earth, the star briefly blinks out. By precisely timing these blinks as they sweep across the globe, astronomers can pinpoint an asteroid’s position with astonishing accuracy.

Between October 2022 and March 2025, we captured 22 such stellar occultations of the Didymos system. Combined with a huge dataset publicly available at the Minor Planet Data Center that included nearly 6,000 ground-based astrometric measurements taken over 29 years, optical navigation data from the DART probe’s approach, and ground-based radar measurements, researchers finally had all they needed.

“Once we had enough measurements before and after the DART impact, we could discern how Didymos’ orbit has changed,” Makadia said.

When the vending-machine-sized DART probe crashed into Dimorphos at over 22,000 kilometers per hour, it decreased the along-track velocity of the entire Didymos system by roughly 11.7 micrometers per second. But the team thinks it’s still significant. “When you do it early enough, even a small impulse can accumulate over years and cause a meaningful shift,” Makadia explained.

Also, the DART impact itself was not the only force that changed Didymos’ orbit.

The ejecta engine

The pure kinetic energy of a 500-kilogram spacecraft hitting at hypersonic speeds is impressive, but on its own, it would not slow a huge asteroid that much. When DART struck Dimorphos, it blasted pulverized rock and dust out into the void. “The material kicked up off an asteroid surface acts like an extra rocket plume,” Makadia said.

Scientists call this effect the momentum enhancement factor, denoted by the Greek letter beta. If the spacecraft impact transferred exactly its own momentum and no debris was kicked up, beta would be exactly one.

Because Dimorphos orbits Didymos, some of the ejecta remained trapped in the system, where it altered the mutual orbit between the two rocks. But a crucial fraction of the ejecta achieved escape velocity from the entire binary system. The momentum carried away by the system-escaping debris is what ultimately contributed to shoving the center of mass of the whole Didymos-Dimorphos pair. “In our case, we found that the beta parameter due to DART impact was around two,” Makadia explained.

The debris blasted completely out of the Didymos system gave the asteroids a push roughly equal to the initial impact of the spacecraft itself.

To calculate how momentum was transferred, Makadia and his colleagues had to determine precisely how massive Didymos and Dimorphos are. By linking the heliocentric deflection to the previously known changes in Dimorphos’ local orbit, the researchers were able to perform a neat mathematical trick to uncover the bulk densities of both asteroids. And this revealed something a bit unexpected about the Didymos system.

“Most studies were going under the assumption that both asteroids have equal density—turns out that assumption was not correct,” Makadia said.

A rubble pile

Based on Makadia’s calculations, Didymos, the primary body, is relatively solid. It has a bulk density of around 2.6 tons per cubic meter, which aligns with standard estimates for siliceous asteroids. Dimorphos, however, is a different story. Its density is a surprisingly low 1.51 tons per cubic meter. This implies that the smaller asteroid targeted by DART is essentially a fluffy, loosely bound agglomeration of boulders, rocks, and dust, with empty voids between the rubble.

“This was a real surprise,” Makadia said. “We previously didn’t know anything about the density of Dimorphos.” The contrast in density tells the story of how this binary system formed.

Billions of years of uneven heating and radiation from the Sun can cause an irregularly shaped asteroid like Didymos to gradually spin faster, a phenomenon known as the YORP (Yarkovsky, O’Keefe, Radzievskii, Paddack) effect. Eventually, Didymos spun so fast that the centrifugal force overcame its gravity, and it began shedding loose material from its equator. That shed material eventually coalesced in orbit, gently clumping together to form the porous, fragile moonlet we now know as Dimorphos.

Overall, Didymos is nearly 200 times more massive than its smaller companion, which explains why shifting the larger asteroid system takes such an enormous amount of force. The sheer inertia of Didymos means that the barycenter deflection of its entire system was just a tiny fraction of the deflection felt locally by Dimorphos.

Planetary defense

Makadia’s findings confirm the models we used to estimate the consequences of the DART impact: The Didymos system still poses zero threat to us, at least for the next 100 years or so. “The pre-DART condition was that the closest the Didymos system can get to Earth was around 15 lunar distances, and this has not changed appreciably,” Makadia explained.

The goal of DART was primarily to take our planetary defense out of the realm of computer models and get us some hands-on, practical experience, and Makadia thinks we succeeded in doing that. “Our work proves that hitting the secondary asteroid is a viable path for deflecting a binary system away as long as the push is large enough,” he said. “This wasn’t the goal of DART, but we can always design a bigger spacecraft.”

This experience applies both to deflecting binary asteroid systems like Didymos and singular objects. “Our results definitely help us in all sorts of future kinetic impact endeavors,” Makadia added.

The final verification of the DART mission’s consequences, though, will come in late 2026, when the European Space Agency’s Hera spacecraft will arrive at the Didymos system.

By performing independent, in-situ measurements of things like the density of Didymos and Dimorphos, Hera will provide a lot of precise gravitational and physical data that Makadia hopes to use to refine his calculations.

“It’s a high-fidelity instrument that hopefully will give us confirmation of what we believe,” Makadia said. “Plus, there are always new things to be found out when we visit an asteroid. I’m very excited about when Hera gets there.”

Science Advances, 2026.  DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aea4259